TCP/IND/4005 · CRVA future hazard · district level

Where each Rama Rao hazard bites

Change in each of the 15 future-hazard indicators from Rama Rao et al. (2020), by district, from the INDRA-CMIP6 14-model ensemble (baseline 1985–2014). Colours are oriented so that red is always worse for agriculture and blue better. Outlined districts are hotspots, identified either as the worst 10% of districts (percentile) or as districts more than one standard deviation worse than the mean change across districts (SD). Either way a district only counts if its change is actually adverse.

betterworse for agriculture

hotspot

Districts at least 10% worse than their historical mean

For each district, the change in the indicator relative to its own 1985–2014 mean, (future − historical) / historical. A district counts when that relative change is 10% or more in the harmful direction: a fall for rainfall and rainy days, a rise for the other indicators. Districts whose historical mean is zero have no relative change and are left out of that indicator's count.